Oscar Predictions: Best Original Score – Hildur Gu?nad車ttir Could Become the First Woman Double Nominated In History

Other contenders include Michael Abels, Terence Blanchard, Michael Giacchino, John Williams and Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross

Sophie Kauer stars as Olga Metkina
Courtesy of Focus Features

Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages are Davis’ assessment of the current standings of the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any film or performance. Like any organization or body that votes, each individual category is fluid and subject to change. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

LAST UPDATED: Sept. 30, 2022

2023 Oscars Predictions: Best Original Score

“Women Talking” (MGM/United Artists Releasing) Courtesy of United Artists Releasing


Confirmed by Focus Features to Variety, Oscar-winner Hildur Guðnadóttir’s (“Joker”) music from Todd Field’s “Tár” does qualify for the upcoming Academy Awards. With a strong bet with her other work “Women Talking” from Sarah Polley, Guðnadóttir could become the first woman ever to receive two nominations in the same year for original score.

For a score to qualify, a film must feature music written specifically for the film by the submitting composer. Some pre-existing music is allowed by a contending film must include a minimum of 60% original music in order to qualify.

Composer John Williams is a legend in every facet of the music world. Aside from winning 25 Grammys and five Oscars, he is undoubtedly the most important musical artist living today. Tapped for Steven Spielberg’s personal semi-autobiographical film “The Fabelmans,” he adds another great composition to his already impressive resume. If nominated, at 90 years old he would surpass costume designer Ann Roth and documentarian Agnes Varda as the oldest nominee, of any competitive Oscar category, in history.

There are other big names and Academy favorites surrounding him including many with multiple scores. Two-time winners Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross (“The Social Network” and “Soul”) have two delectable creations with Sam Mendes’ “Empire of Light” and Luca Guadganino’s “Bones & All,” both also worthy of consideration.

See the latest film predictions, in all 23 categories, in one place on Variety’s Oscars Collective.

To see the ranked predictions for each individual category, visit Variety’s Oscars Hub.


And The Predicted Nominees Are:
1“The Fabelmans”John WilliamsUniversal Pictures
A semi-autobiography based on Spielberg’s own childhood growing up in post-war Arizona, from age seven to eighteen.
2“Women Talking”Hildur GuðnadóttirMGM/United Artists Releasing
A group of women in an isolated religious colony as they struggle to reconcile their faith with a string of sexual assaults committed by the colony’s men.
3“TÁR”Hildur GuðnadóttirFocus Features
Set in the international world of classical music, the film centers on Lydia Tár. widely considered one of the greatest living composer/conductors and first-ever female chief conductor of a major German orchestra.
4“Empire of Light”Trent Reznor, Atticus RossSearchlight Pictures
“Empire of Light” is a love story set in and around a beautiful old cinema on the South Coast of England in the 1980s.
5“The Woman King”Terence BlanchardSony Pictures
A historical epic inspired by the true events that happened in The Kingdom of Dahomey, one of the most powerful states of Africa in the 18th and 19th centuries.
Next in Line
6“The Batman”Michael GiacchinoWarner Bros.
When a sadistic serial killer begins murdering key political figures in Gotham, Batman is forced to investigate the city’s hidden corruption and question his family’s involvement.
7“Babylon”Justin HurwitzParamount Pictures
Set in Hollywood during the transition from silent films to talkies, focusing on a mixture of historical & fictional characters.
8“Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio”Alexandre DesplatNetflix
A darker version of the classic children’s fairy tale of a wooden puppet that transforms into a real living boy.
9“Good Night Oppy”Blake NeelyAmazon Studios
The film follows Opportunity, the Mars Exploration Rover affectionately dubbed Oppy by her creators and scientists at NASA. Oppy was originally expected to live for only 90 days but she ultimately explored Mars for nearly 15 years.
10“She Said”Nicholas BritellUniversal Pictures
New York Times reporters Megan Twohey and Jodi Kantor break one of the most important stories in a generation — a story that helped launch the #MeToo movement and shattered decades of silence around the subject of sexual assault in Hollywood.
Other Top-Tier Contenders
11“Strange World”Henry JackmanWalt Disney Pictures
12“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”Ludwig GöranssonMarvel Studios
13“The Son”Hans ZimmerSony Pictures Classics
14“RRR”M.M. KeeravaaniVariance Films
15“Nope”Michael AbelsUniversal Pictures
16“The Banshees of Inisherin”Carter BurwellSearchlight Pictures
17“Avatar: The Way of Water”Simon Franglen20th Century Studios
18“Bones & All”Trent Reznor, Atticus RossMGM/United Artists Releasing
19“The Whale”Rob SimonsenA24
20“White Noise”Danny ElfmanNetflix
Also In Contention
21“Vengeance”Finneas O’ConnellFocus Features
22“Spirited”Benj Pasek, Justin PaulApple Original Films
23“Bardo (or False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths)”Bryce Dessner, Alejandro G. IñárrituNetflix
24“Everything Everywhere All at Once”Son LuxA24
25“My Policeman”Steven PriceAmazon Studios
26“Blonde”Nick Cave, Warren EllisNetflix
27“Turning Red”Ludwig GöranssonPixar
28“Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery”Nathan JohnsonNetflix
29“The Inspection”Animal CollectiveA24
30“The Pale Blue Eye”Howard ShoreNetflix
All Contenders Listed (Unranked-Alphabetical)
“A Man Called Otto”To be announcedSony Pictures
“After Yang”Aska Matsumiya, Ryuichi SakamotoA24
“Aftersun”Oliver CoatesA24
“All Quiet on the Western Front”Volker BertelmannNetflix
“All the Beauty and the Bloodshed”Soundwalk Collective, Dawn Sutter MadellNeon
“Am I OK?”St. Vincent, Craig WedrenHBO Max
“Ambulance”Lorne BalfeUniversal Pictures
“Amsterdam”Daniel Pemberton20th Century Studios
“Argentina, 1985”Pedro OsunaAmazon Studios
“Armageddon Time”Christopher SpelmanFocus Features
“Art & Krimes by Krimes”Amanda JonesMTV Documentary Films
“As They Made Us”Kevin BesignanoQuiver
“Athena”Hugh Martin, Ralph BlaneNetflix
“Avatar: The Way of Water”Simon Franglen20th Century Studios
“Babylon”Justin HurwitzParamount Pictures
“Bardo (or False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths)”Bryce Dessner, Alejandro G. IñárrituNetflix
“Beast”Steven PriceUniversal Pictures
“Black Adam”Lorne BalfeWarner Bros
“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”Ludwig GöranssonMarvel Studios
“Blonde”Nick Cave, Warren EllisNetflix
“Bodies Bodies Bodies”DisasterpieceA24
“Bones & All”Trent Reznor, Atticus RossMGM/United Artists Releasing
“Brian and Charles”Daniel PembertonFocus Features
“Broker”Jung Jae-ilNeon
“Bros”Marc ShaimanUniversal Pictures
“Bullet Train”Dominic LewisSony Pictures
“Call Jane”Isabella SummersRoadside Attractions
“Catherine Called Birdy”Carter BurwellAmazon Studios
“Causeway”Alex SomersA24/Apple Original Films
“Cha Cha Real Smooth”Este Haim, Chris StraceyApple Original Films
“Chevalier”Kris BowersSearchlight Pictures
“Close”Valentin HadjadjA24
“Corsage”CamilleIFC Films
“Crimes of the Future”Howard ShoreNeon
“DC League of Super Pets”Steve JablonskyWarner Bros
“Death on the Nile”Patrick Doyle20th Century Studios
“Decision to Leave”Jo Yeong-wookMubi
“Devotion”Chanda DancySony Pictures
“Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness”Danny ElfmanMarvel Studios
“Don’t Worry Darling”John PowellWarner Bros
“Elvis”Elliott WheelerWarner Bros.
“Empire of Light”Trent Reznor, Atticus RossSearchlight Pictures
“Everything Everywhere All at Once”Son LuxA24
“Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery”Nathan JohnsonNetflix
“Good Night Oppy”Blake NeelyAmazon Studios
“Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio”Alexandre DesplatNetflix
“Happening”Evgueni Galperine, Sacha GalperineIFC Films
“Holy Spider”Martin DirkovUtopia
“Hustle”Dan DeaconNetflix
“I Love My Dad”Jeremy BullockMagnolia Pictures
“Let Me Be Me”Jackson GreenbergGreenwich Entertainment
“Lightyear”Michael GiacchinoPixar
“Living”Emilie Levienaise-FarrouchSony Pictures Classics
“Luck”John DebneyApple Original Films
“Lyle, Lyle Crocodile”Matthew MargesonSony Pictures
“Marcel the Shell with Shoes On”DisasterpieceA24
“Master”Robert Aiki Aubrey LoweAmazon Studios
“Men”Ben Salisbury, Geoff BarrowA24
“My Policeman”Steven PriceAmazon Studios
“Nope”Michael AbelsUniversal Pictures
“Pearl”Tyler Bates, Tim WilliamsA24
“RRR”M.M. KeeravaaniVariance Films
“She Said”Nicholas BritellUniversal Pictures
“Spirited”Benj Pasek, Justin PaulApple Original Films
“Spoiler Alert: The Hero Dies”Brian H. KimFocus Features
“Stars at Noon”TindersticksA24
“Strange World”Henry JackmanWalt Disney Pictures
“TÁR”Hildur GuðnadóttirFocus Features
“The Banshees of Inisherin”Carter BurwellSearchlight Pictures
“The Batman”Michael GiacchinoWarner Bros.
“The Fabelmans”John WilliamsUniversal Pictures
“The Fabelmans”John WilliamsUniversal Pictures
“The Good Nurse”BiosphereNetflix
“The Greatest Beer Run Ever”Dave PalmerApple Original Films
“The Inspection”Animal CollectiveA24
“The Menu”Colin StetsonSearchlight Pictures
“The Northman”Robin Carolan, Sebastian GainsboroughFocus Features
“The Pale Blue Eye”Howard ShoreNetflix
“The Son”Hans ZimmerSony Pictures Classics
“The Whale”Rob SimeonsenA24
“The Woman King”Terence BlanchardTriStar Pictures
“The Wonder”Matthew HerbertNetflix
“Thirteen Lives”Benjamin WallfischAmazon Studios/MGM
“Three Thousand Years of Longing”Junkie XLMGM/United Artists Releasing
“Till”Abel KorzeniowskiOrion/United Artists Releasing
“Top Gun: Maverick”Lorne Balfe, Harold Faltermeyer, Hans ZimmerParamount Pictures
“Turning Red”Ludwig GöranssonPixar
“Vengeance”Finneas O’ConnellFocus Features
“Wendell and Wild”Bruno CoulaisNetflix
“Where the Crawdad Sing”Mychael DannaSony Pictures
“White Noise”Danny ElfmanNetflix
“Women Talking”Hildur GuðnadóttirMGM/United Artists Releasing

2023 Academy Awards Predictions


The 95th Oscars ceremony will be held at the Dolby Theatre and televised live on Sunday, March 12, 2022, on ABC.

2022 category winner: “Dune” (Warner Bros.) – Hans Zimmer

About Variety Awards Circuit:

Variety’s unmatched coverage gives its readership unbeatable exposure in print and online, as well as provides inside reports on all the contenders in this year’s awards season races. In addition to predictions, the section includes — Awards Circuit Column, a weekly analysis dissecting the trends and contenders in the race; Awards Circuit Podcast, a weekly series featuring interviews with the top contenders in the awards race and an expert roundtable discussion with Variety’s leading editors and columnists; Awards Circuit Predictions Video Series, a deep dive into specific categories, led by the leading pundits.