Oscars Predictions: Best International Feature – Shortlist Voting Is Around the Corner, Where Does It Stand?

Other awards contenders include "Compartment No. 6," "A Hero," "Flee," "I'm Your Man" and "Worst Person in the World"

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Variety's Awards Circuit is home to the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars and Emmys ceremonies from film awards editor Clayton Davis. Following history, buzz, news, reviews and sources, the Oscar and Emmy predictions are updated regularly with the current year's list of contenders in all categories. Variety's Awards Circuit Prediction schedule consists of four phases, running all year long: Draft, Pre-Season, Regular Season and Post Season. The eligibility calendar and dates of awards will determine how long each phase lasts and is subject to change.

To see all the latest predictions, of all the categories, in one place, visit THE OSCARS COLLECTIVE
Visit each category, per the individual awards show from THE OSCARS HUB
Revisit the prediction archive of the 2021 season THE ARCHIVE
Link to television awards is atTHE EMMYS HUB

2022 OSCARS PREDICTIONS:
BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE

UPDATED: Dec 2, 2021

AWARDS PREDICTION COMMENTARY: More to come.

The deadline for submissions to the Academy is Nov. 1. The shortlist of fifteen finalists is scheduled to be announced on Dec. 21.

Oscar nominations voting begins on Thursday, Jan. 27, 2022, and will end on Tuesday, Feb. 1, 2022. The official Academy Awards nominations will be announced on Tuesday, Feb. 8, 2022, with the ceremony taking place on Sunday, March 27, 2022.

Awards Season Calendar (2021-2022)


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The Worst Person in the World. Neon

ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:

AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE:
RANK FILM COUNTRY DIRECTOR
1 The Worst Person in the World Norway* Joachim Trier
2 A Hero Iran* Asghar Farhadi
3 Flee Denmark* Jonas Poher Rasmussen
4 Drive My Car Japan* Ryusuke Hamaguchi
5 Prayers for the Stolen Mexico* Tatiana Huezo
NEXT IN LINE
5 The Hand of God Italy* Paolo Sorrentino
4 Compartment No. 6 Finland* Juho Kuosmanen
7 Titane France* Julia Ducournau
9 Unclenching the Fists Russia* Kira Kovalenko
10 I’m Your Man Germany* Maria Schrader
OTHER TOP-TIER CONTENDERS
11 The Good Boss Spain* Fernando León de Aranoa
12 Great Freedom Austria* Sebastian Meise
13 Hive Kosovo* Blerta Basholli
14 Lamb Iceland* Valdimar Jóhannsson
15 The Falls Taiwan* Chung Mong-hong
16 Casablanca Beats Morocco* Nabil Ayouch
17 Bad Luck Banging Or Loony Porn Romania* Radu Jude
18 Golden Butterfly Tunisia* Abdelhamid Bouchnak
19 Memoria Colombia* Apichatpong Weerasethakul
20 Luzzu Malta* Alex Camilleri
OTHER POSSIBILITIES
21 Private Desert Brazil* Aly Muritiba
22 Sumergible Ecuador* Alfredo León León
23 Powerful Chief Peru* Henry Vallejo
24 Leave No Traces Poland* Jan P. Matuszyński
25 Oasis Serbia* Ivan Ikić
26 Zatopek Czech Republic* David Ondříček
27 Olga Switzerland* Elie Grappe
28 Foscadh Ireland* Seán Breathnach
29 Let It Be Morning Israel* Eran Kolirin
30 Brighton 4th Georgia* Levan Koguashvili
UNRANKED LISTING
107 Mothers Slovakia* Péter Kerekes
After the Winter Montenegro* Ivan Bakrač
Bad Roads Ukraine* Nataliia Vorozhbyt
Betrayed Norway Eirik Svensson
Yuni Indonesia* Kamila Andini
The Stranger Palestine* Ameer Fakher Eldin
Ciara Sola Costa Rica* Nathalie Álvarez Mesén
Digger Greece* Georgis Grigorakis
Do Not Hesitate Netherlands* Shariff Korver
Drunken Birds Canada* Ivan Grbovic
Escape from Mogadishu South Korea* Ryoo Seung-wan
Fatsani: A Tale of Survival Malawi* Gift Sukez Sukali
Fear Bulgaria* Ivaylo Hristov
Héliopolis Algeria* Djafar Gacem
Io sto bene Luxembourg* Donato Rotunno
Mission to Rescue Kenya* Gilbert Lukalia
Nothing but the Sun Paraguay* Arami Ullón
Nothing Ever Happened Portugal Gonçalo Galvão Teles
On the Water Estonia* Peeter Simm
One Second China To be added
Pebbles India* P.S. Vinothraj
Playground Belgium* Laura Wandel
Plaza Catedral Panama* Abner Benaim
Post Mortem Hungary* Péter Bergendy
Precious Is the Night Singapore* Wayne Peng
Rehana Bangladesh* Abdullah Mohammad Saad
Sanremo Slovenia* Miroslav Mandić
Shadow Portugal Bruno Gascon
Shadows in My Eyes Denmark Ole Bornedal
Shambala Kyrgyzstan* Artykpai Suyundukov
Should the Wind Drop Armenia* Nora Martirosyan
Sisterhood North Macedonia* Dina Duma
Tereza37 Croatia* Danilo Šerbedžija
Terra Nova Portugal Artur Ribeiro
The Broken Glass Theory Uruguay* Diego Fernández
The Gravedigger’s Wife Somalia* Khadar Ayderus Ahmed
The Great Movement Bolivia* Kiro Russo
The Intruder Argentina* Natalia Meta
The Jump Lithuania* Giedrė Žickytė
The Metamorphosis of Birds Portugal* Catarina Vasconcelos
The Pit Latvia* Dace Pūce
The White Fortress Bosnia and Herzegovina* Igor Drljaca
Tigers Sweden* Ronnie Sandahl
Two Lions Heading to Vanice Albania* Jonid Jorgji
When Pomegranates Howl Australia* Granaz Moussavi
White Building Cambodia* Kavich Neang
White on White Chile Théo Court
Zero to Hero Hong Kong* Jimmy Wan

AWARDS CATEGORY HISTORY (International Feature)

The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Italy is the most winning country in the history of the category with France right behind.


2022 Academy Awards Predictions

2021 Oscars predictions are here.

About the Academy Awards (Oscars)

The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners are selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). 17 branches are represented within the near 10,000 person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, production design, short films and feature animation, sound, visual effects and writers.

  • The date for the 94th Oscars will be held on Sunday, March 27, 2022