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Variety's Awards Circuit is home to the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars and Emmys ceremonies from film awards editor Clayton Davis. Following history, buzz, news, reviews and sources, the Oscar and Emmy predictions are updated regularly with the current year's list of contenders in all categories. Variety's Awards Circuit Prediction schedule consists of four phases, running all year long: Draft, Pre-Season, Regular Season and Post Season. The eligibility calendar and dates of awards will determine how long each phase lasts and is subject to change.

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2022 OSCARS PREDICTIONS:
BEST FILM EDITING

UPDATED: March 24, 2022

AWARDS PREDICTION COMMENTARY

Deathmatch. That’s the best way to describe this race that will surely make or break your office Oscar pool.

At ACE Eddies, “King Richard’s” Pamela Martin bested Joe Walker for “Dune” in drama. On the other hand, “Tick, Tick … Boom!” won the comedy/musical race easily. BAFTA and Critics Choice chose two non-Oscar nominees: “No Time to Die” and “West Side Story.”

When in doubt, you match ACE Eddie, but conversations with voters show this as a race between those three mentioned contenders. “Don’t Look Up” has a chance as well, and even with “The Power of the Dog” having 12 noms, this seems a bit out of reach.

One of the two ACE Eddie winners has won the Oscar 22 of the past 30 years. Ten of the previous 14 BAFTA winners have walked away with the Academy Award. Coincidentally, film editing and sound have matched for the past eight years. This means if you are predicting “Dune” in sound, you might also want to take it in editing.

I’ll go with the matchup of sound and film editing.

Will win: “Dune” (Warner Bros) – Joe Walker
Could win: “King Richard” (Warner Bros) – Pamela Martin
Should win: “King Richard” (Warner Bros) – Pamela Martin
Should have been here: “The Guilty” (Netflix) – Jason Ballantine

Precursor Awards Leader:
“Dune” (Warner Bros) – Joe Walker
Awards Season Calendar


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KING RICHARD, from left: Demi Singleton, as Serena Williams, Saniyya Sidney, as Venus Williams, Aunjanue Ellis, as Oracene ‘Brandy’ Williams, 2021. © Warner Bros. /Courtesy Everett Collection ?Warner Bros/Courtesy Everett Collection

ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:

AND THE NOMINEES ARE:
RANK FILM STUDIO EDITOR(S)
1 “Dune” Warner Bros Joe Walker
2 “King Richard” Warner Bros Pamela Martin
3 “Tick, Tick … Boom!” Netflix Myron Kerstein, Andrew Weisblum
4 “Don’t Look Up” Netflix Hank Corwin
5 “The Power of the Dog” Netflix Peter Sciberras

AWARDS CATEGORY HISTORY (Film Editing)

The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. The most awarded films in Oscar history are “Ben-Hur,” “Titanic” and “The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King” at 11 statuettes. The most nominated films in Academy history are “All About Eve,” “Titanic” and “La La Land” at 14. “La La Land” is the only film of the three to have lost best picture. The most significant Oscar “losers,” meaning most nominated and walk away with zero awards, are 1977’s “The Turning Point” and 1985’s “The Color Purple” at 11 each. Four people have won this category three times: Ralph Dawson, Daniel Mandell, Michael Kahn and Thelma Schoonmaker. Kahn and Schoonmaker are the most nominated editors in the Academy’s history, with eight nominations each. Two editors have received six nominations but never won: Gerry Hambling (who died in 2013) and Frederic Knudtson (who died in 1963). Ten films have won best picture without being nominated for best editing since the category has existed since the seventh ceremony in 1934: “It Happened One Night” (1934), “The Life of Emile Zola” (1937), “Hamlet” (1948), “Marty” (1955), “Tom Jones” (1963), “A Man for All Seasons” (1966), “The Godfather Part II” (1974), “Annie Hall” (1977), “Ordinary People” (1980) and “Birdman” (2014).


2022 Academy Awards Predictions

2021 Oscars predictions are here.

About the Academy Awards (Oscars)

The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners have been selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Seventeen branches are represented within the near 10,000 person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, production design, short films and feature animation, sound, visual effects and writers.

  • The date for the 94th Oscars will be held on Sunday, Mar. 27, 2022